Market Analysis

AI-powered insights into global financial markets

Why Did Nasdaq Fall Oct 22, 2026? AI Spending

tense, anxious decline with a sense of tech-sector unease illustration depicting The Nasdaq Composite index falling as AI and tech stocks sell off, represented by a glowing AI microchip and a declining stock chart, communicating Tech and AI stocks on the Nasdaq are falling sharply because investors are worried about AI spending.
Share

The Nasdaq fell 2.6% on Oct 22 as AI spending worries hit tech, while oil topped $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield dropped below 5%.

Educational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment advice. Read our disclaimer

StockCram is not a broker-dealer, investment adviser, or financial institution. All content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as personalized investment advice. Consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Executive Summary

  • •US stocks fell on Thursday, October 22, because worries about AI spending hit big tech: the Nasdaq dropped 2.6% to 26,008.86, the S&P 500 lost 1.21% to 7,663.43, and the Dow was flat.
  • •The 10-year Treasury yield fell about 17 basis points to 4.95%, below 5% for the first time since September 23, as investors sought safer assets.
  • •WTI crude topped $100 a barrel and Brent traded near $109 on reports of possible US and Israeli strikes on Iran after the midterm elections.
  • •Weekly jobless claims fell to 194,000 against a 200,000 forecast, and the Fed meets October 27-28 with a hold priced at about 91.5%.

Deep DiveToday's Market Movers

Nasdaq drops 2.6% as AI spending worries return after Meta and Tesla earnings

What Happened

The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.6% to 26,008.86 on Thursday, its worst day since early June, as renewed worries about AI spending hit big tech after Meta and Tesla earnings. The S&P 500 lost 1.21% to 7,663.43, its worst day since July, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished flat, up 0.02%. Meta Platforms fell about 7% even though its revenue beat forecasts, because it reported its first cash outflow in more than a decade from AI spending and announced non-voting shares in a 2-for-1 split to raise money. Tesla cut its yearly capital spending forecast. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 5.6% to its lowest level since July 29.

Why It Matters

Investors are now asking how much AI spending will pay off, not just how strong sales are. That question is at the center of the debate over whether we are in another AI bubble. The weakness in big tech masked gains in much of the rest of the market.

Market Impact

Equities

Nasdaq Composite fell 2.6% to 26,008.86 and the S&P 500 fell 1.21% to 7,663.43. The Dow was roughly flat, up 0.02%.

Rates

Safe-haven buying pushed Treasury yields sharply lower.

FX

Little changed; no major currency move was reported.

Commodities

Oil rose, and gold and silver fell.

10-year Treasury yield falls below 5% for the first time since September 23

What Happened

The US 10-year Treasury yield fell about 17 basis points to 4.95% on Thursday, dropping below 5% for the first time since September 23, as investors bought government bonds while tech and AI shares fell. Investors treated Treasuries as a safe place to park money. Five- to 30-year yields reached their lowest levels in nearly a month. Bond prices rise when yields fall (see our glossary for more).

Why It Matters

Bonds acted as a haven even with oil prices higher. Falling yields lower borrowing costs, which is why homebuilders gained, though a frozen housing market depends on more than one day's move in yields.

Market Impact

Equities

Homebuilders rallied: the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF rose 4.5%.

Rates

The 10-year yield fell about 17 basis points to 4.95%. The 2-year fell 17 basis points to 4.63% and the 30-year fell 13 basis points to 5.28%.

FX

Lower US yields reduce the pull on the dollar; no large move was reported.

Commodities

Oil rose even as yields fell.

Oil climbs above $100 on reports the US and Israel may strike Iran after the midterms

What Happened

December West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose back above $100 a barrel in Asian trading on October 22, and Brent traded around $109, on reports of possible US and Israeli strikes on Iran. Reports said the US and Israel are weighing a three-day air campaign against Iran after next month's US midterm elections. Iran warned it could hit Gulf oil facilities, including Saudi Aramco sites. Brent jumped 27.9% in a single week when attacks began last February.

Why It Matters

Higher oil prices feed into gasoline and shipping costs. That makes inflation harder for the Federal Reserve to bring down. For background on how war risk moves crude, see our explainer on oil prices during war and the Strait of Hormuz.

Market Impact

Equities

Rising oil added to the pressure on stocks during the Thursday selloff.

Rates

Higher oil raises inflation worries, but Treasury yields still fell on the day.

FX

No major currency move was reported.

Commodities

December WTI crude rose back above $100 a barrel and Brent traded near $109 in Asian hours. Brent was about $113.61 on October 23.

Weekly jobless claims fall to 194,000, a three-month low

What Happened

US weekly jobless claims fell by 6,000 to 194,000 in the week ended October 17, a three-month low, the Labor Department reported, below the 200,000 economists expected. The prior week's figure was 200,000. Claims are near 57-year lows. Prediction markets priced a 91.5% chance of no Fed change on October 28 and an 8.5% chance of a quarter-point hike.

Why It Matters

A steady job market gives the Fed less reason to change interest rates quickly. Layoffs are still low even as inflation stays high. New to the topic? Read what the Federal Reserve does and how it sets rates.

Market Impact

Equities

Little direct effect; the tech selloff dominated.

Rates

Supports expectations that the Fed holds rates at its October 27-28 meeting.

FX

No major currency move was reported.

Commodities

No direct effect reported.

Lockheed Martin gains about 7%, Spotify rises 9% as parts of the market buck the tech slide

What Happened

Lockheed Martin shares rose about 7% on Thursday after the defense contractor reported earnings, and Spotify rose 9% after its report, as parts of the market held up during the tech slide. The gains came as the Dow stayed flat while the Nasdaq fell 2.6%. Tesla ended down about 3% in late trading.

Why It Matters

The selloff was concentrated in AI-linked tech stocks. Other sectors, including defense and homebuilders, moved on their own news.

Market Impact

Equities

Lockheed Martin rose about 7% and Spotify rose 9%, while most US stocks outside tech held up better than the Nasdaq.

Rates

Not directly affected.

FX

No major currency move was reported.

Commodities

No direct effect reported.

Historical Perspective

Similar Event

A tech and AI spending scare earlier this month: on October 15, 2026, a global rout in tech hardware stocks hit Nvidia, AMD and Dell over AI funding worries.

What Happened Then

Tech shares dropped sharply, then rebounded on October 21 after strong results from SpaceX and Super Micro, before sliding again on Thursday. Tech stocks have swung widely on each new earnings report. Learn more about how this works in our [stock basics guide](/basics/what-are-stocks).

What to Watch Next

  • →October 23, 10:00 ET: University of Michigan final October consumer sentiment (prior: 46.3 preliminary; one-year inflation expectation 4.7%)
  • →October 28, 2:00 PM ET: Federal Reserve interest rate decision, end of the October 27-28 meeting (prior: target range raised to 3.75%-4% on September 16)
  • →October 28, after the close: Alphabet and Microsoft quarterly earnings (prior: not stated here)
  • →October 29, 8:30 AM ET: September PCE inflation report (prior: core PCE 3.0% year over year)

Analysis Confidence

Conviction Level:★★★★★

Key Uncertainties

Friday's trading session was still under way, so figures reflect Thursday's close. Meta's move was reported as 5% to 8% at different times of day. Reports of possible US and Israeli strikes on Iran are unconfirmed and could change quickly. Fed expectations come from prediction markets, not official guidance.

Sources

  • • CNBC (2026-10-22)
  • • Reuters (via MarketScreener) (2026-10-22)
  • • Associated Press (via ABC News) (2026-10-22)
  • • The Korea Times (2026-10-23)
  • • Bloomberg (via The Edge Malaysia) (2026-10-22)
  • • The Globe and Mail (2026-10-22)
  • • Benzinga (2026-10-22)
  • • Invezz (2026-10-22)
  • • BigGo Finance (2026-10-22)

Found this analysis helpful?

Share